Friday, January 14, 2005

Another way to think about the Monty Hall/baby-dobloon problem

Let's say you have 1000 doors/babies. One by one, Monty/the doctor eliminates door/baby after baby/door, leaving you with only your choice and one other door/baby. Should you switch?

Or let's say I tell you to guess my birthday. You say September 12th and I say it's either September 12th or December 9th. Should you switch?

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